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World's leading financial institutions raise China's 2024 growth forecasts

World's leading financial institutions raise China's 2024 growth forecasts
12 Apr 2024 11:31


Several leading global financial institutions and banks have revised their 2024 growth forecasts for China upward after improved data and effective policy delivery has raised expectations of a brighter outlook for the world's second-largest economy.

According to China Central Television, Goldman Sachs forecasts a five per cent growth. In contrast, Morgan Stanley has notably adjusted its projection to 4.8 per cent from the previous estimate of 4.2 per cent, aligning closely with China's official target for gross domestic product (GDP) growth.

Last month, Citibank upgraded its forecast for China's GDP expansion to 5.0 per cent from 4.6 per cent.

These adjustments were driven by China's vital Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), stabilised property sector, better-than-expected exports and manufacturing activity.

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed the PMI for China's manufacturing sector coming in at 50.8 in March, bouncing back to the expansion zone, while a private survey published on Monday by Chinese business media group Caixin showed manufacturing PMI in March growing to 51.1, up from 50.9 in the previous month.

In March, the sub-index for service business activity surged to 52.4, marking a notable increase of 1.4 per centage points compared to the preceding month.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a below 50 reflects contraction.




Source: WAM
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